Woolner & Jones

Addendum: And Then, What Else Might China Do? When you attempt to join the big league, it should be no surprise that the established players take you seriously. So, as Australia has sought a place in the strategic manoeuvring in the conflict between China and Taiwan through the formation of AUKUS, it should be no surprise that China would take steps to neutralise Australia's presence. Already strongly placed with its submarine warfare developments, China is now developing further options to restrict Australia's capacity to mount a submarine-based challenge to China's interests. One such option became apparent in late March when the text of a proposed security arrangement between the People's Republic of China and the Solomon Islands was leaked. Much of the text was vague and imprecise but it immediately raised the possibility that China might be setting up conditions that would allow it to position naval vessels in the Solomons. Even the faint possibility of ...

Speaking about the next RAN submarines on ABC Insiders on Sunday 6 March Australia’s Defence Minister Peter Dutton spoke the magic words ’vertical launch system’. Answering a question on whether Australia would contemplate joining military action against China in defence of Taiwan he said that “keeping Australians safe” led to the AUKUS agreement “to acquire the nuclear .. sub capability .. [that] allows potentially a vertical launch system or some use of missiles which would speak to a very strong deterrence message.” This is virtually a commitment to acquiring the US Virginia-class SSN (nuclear-powered attack submarine), as the UK’s Astute-class SSN does not have a vertical launch system (VLS) in its design. It also sets free a huge mound of wriggling policy and operational worms. PM Morrison and Defence Minister Dutton are at odds over the timing of the submarine decision (post-election or in the next few weeks) and the feasibility of the project is supposed to be the subject of a...